Exit polls 2019
One of the exit polls has given just four seats to AIADMK.
With the conclusion of the last phase of polling in the 2019 Indian General Elections, sections of the television media in conjunction with polling agencies have officially unveiled the results of their exit polls. The exit polls, which have taken into account data from all seven phases, have predicted an average of 8 seats for the BJP-AIADMK alliance in Tamil Nadu and 27 for the Congress-DMK alliance.
The India Today-My Axis poll predicted between 0 to 4 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance and 34 to 38 seats for the DMK-Congress alliance.
The Times Now-VMR polls predicted about 9 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance and upto 29 seats for the DMK-Congress alliance. According to the Times Now-VMR exit poll, the AIADMK is projected to lose 30% of its vote share compared to 2014 when the party became the third largest in the Lok Sabha. A press release from Times Now-VMR states, “BJP’s gamble of expanding the NDA by getting the AIADMK on board hasn’t paid off in Tamil Nadu. The alliance just gets 9 seats, a big fall from 2014 when the AIADMK had swept all the 38 seats. The AIADMK is projected to lose 30% of its vote share compared to 2014. Its DMK and allies all the way in Tamil Nadu raising their number from zero to 29.” It also predicts that the lone seat of Puducherry would go to the AIADMK-BJP alliance.
The Republic-C Voter exit polls predicted 11 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance and 27 seats for the DMK-Congress combine.
The Republic-Jan Ki Baat exit polls meanwhile has pegged AIADMK-BJP alliance’s expected seat share to be 9 to 13 while the DMK-Congress alliance is predicted to get between 15 to 29 seats.
The CNN News18-IPSOS polls predicted 14-16 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance and 22 to 24 seats for the DMK alliance.
The NewsX-NETA polls have predicted up to 9 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance, 20 seats for the DMK-Congress alliance and 9 seats for the Others category, which may include parties like the AMMK, NTK and MNM.
Today’s Chanakya predicted that the AIADMK-BJP alliance would win up to 6 seats, DMK would pick up upto 31 seats. The others, which may include parties like the AMMK, MNM and NTK, the exit polls stated, would get 1 seat.
The results of the 2019 Indian General Elections will be announced on May 23 and they will be of particular interest to Tamil Nadu for the state simultaneously awaits the results of 22 bye-polls. The fate of the Edappadi Palaniswami-led AIADMK government hangs in the balance.
The triangular contest in the state will see the AIADMK, the DMK and the AMMK facing off against one another with parties like actor-politician Kamal Haasan’s Makkal Needhi Maiam and Seeman’s Naam Tamizhar Katchi also in the fray. The AIADMK, ruling party in the state entered into an alliance with the BJP, the ruling party at the Centre while old allies DMK and Congress came together yet again. RK Nagar MLA and AMMK chief TTV Dhinakaran has decided to go it alone in both sets of polls— the Lok Sabha and the bye-polls. With elections to the Vellore parliamentary constituency being cancelled on account of rampant cash-for-votes, the state has voted to elect 38 MPs. The lone seat in the union territory of Puducherry also went to polls on the day. Bye-polls were held in two phases: 18 bye-polls on April 18 and four more on May 19.
In 2014, the voter turnout across the state was at 73.74%, while Puducherry witnessed 82.1% turnout. The strength of the Lok Sabha is at 543 members with the halfway mark being 272. The NDA alliance lead by the BJP currently has 336 MPs while the UPA is at 59. The AIADMK is the third largest party in parliament 37 MPs. The DMK has no MPs in parliament.